Author Information
Dennis Arthur
Member since 22nd March 2008
Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and winning selections versus the spread, visit his site at http://www.armchairanalysis.com.
Displaying 1 to 11 (of 11 articles)
26th September 2008
Week 4 brings us an interesting NFC match-up pitting 2 teams against each other that are currently sitting a-top their respective divisions, both at 2-1 SU.
While Green Bay started the season out 2-0, they had no answer for Dallas' relentless ground at...
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18th September 2008
This particular match is interesting for the fact that both Buffalo and Oakland were favoured to cover the spread in separate high-percentage plays last week, and both ended up doing just that, ATS and straight-up.
This week, it appears that Buffalo wi...
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21st May 2008
Similar to the Playoffs, early season games need to be handicapped much differently than those played after around Week 3 of the regular season--when it comes to using situational methods.
One of the biggest challenges at this stage of the season comes...
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01st May 2008
Here is a situation that will probably be appreciated by those 'purists' who believe that the effectiveness of a teams rushing game is the biggest factor in deciding who wins and ultimately, who covers the spread. It concerns teams with a superior ...
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24th April 2008
For those of you who like to bet on the perennial Super-Bowl contenders: here is a fairly straight-forward NFL betting system that involves favourites of at least 14 points that has been 20-0 ATS over the past 14 seasons and 3-0 ATS last year alone...
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31st March 2008
One thing that quickly becomes apparent when digging into NFL game data from the past decade-and-a-half is the fact that underdogs have had a decided edge versus the spread.
Since 1994, there have only been 3 seasons where favourites actually tu...
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31st March 2008
Prior to the 1990 season, NFL handicappers could count on one scheduling constant: with-out exception, all teams in the league played each and every week of the regular season.
Teams did not necessarily all play on Sunday of course—Thanksgiving day g...
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31st March 2008
When an NFL team takes the field on offense, their goal is simple: gain enough yards on each play as to set up an eventual 1st down, thereby moving the chains and starting the whole process over again, until either a field-goal, or preferably a touch-down...
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31st March 2008
Seeing as we are less than 2 weeks removed from one of the more exciting post-seasons to come along in recent memory (congrats to the NY Giants), it seems like an opportune time to discuss a couple of different playoff systems that both found success in 2...
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31st March 2008
Here is a simple betting system that pretty much anyone with either Internet access, or a newspaper sports section from the current and previous week, can follow. It will usually offer 2-6 opportunites for profit each season.
The premise is this: Most ...
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31st March 2008
Red Zone Conversion percentage is one of those basic-box score stats that has been around for so long, it's easy to overlook it in today's 12-15 page NFL Gamebooks. It's a deceptively simple, yet powerful statistic—teams that consistently convert Red Zo...
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