A good cause for pause is deciding whether to rent or buy. In the current economy, some people think renting is best because it affords time to save, assess and make a composed decision. But buying also has advantages. Home prices are extremely low. The recession has put pressure on sellers to part with their property. This is opening the market up to attractive deals. But the most important thing is to make the decision based on your personal financial situation. It's the only way to make the right decision.
At the broadest level, global economic weakness constitutes a continuing risk. This recession knows no borders, and the downturn has become especially severe in Japan, Europe, and certain developing markets such as Eastern Europe. Though there are promising signs in some countries, the International Monetary Fund still projects global growth this year will be â€"1.3 percent, the most severe worldwide contraction since World War II.
Domestically, commercial real estate is a problem for the economy and problematic for my outlook. My forecast takes into account worsening commercial real estate -- office, retail, hotel, and warehouse, all of which are under stress. But since this is an emerging story, I don’t think we should underestimate the scope of the problems of commercial real estate and the potential disruption to a still stressed banking system.
Finally, in an economy built for personal consumption, there is the risk consumer psychology and resulting consumption could turn negative. Consumer sentiment regarding the economy has improved but remains very low by recovery standards and could reverse with adverse turns in the data or worsening market conditions.
Even without such a reversal, several factors are likely to continue to hold back consumer spending. These include weak labor markets, pressures to repair household balance sheets, and still tight credit conditions. Going forward, I doubt that the financial system will accommodate the degree of household leverage consumers enjoyed before mid-2007. So I’m expecting a period of adjustment.
So there you have it, the economy is laying the groundwork for some serious changes. If you plant to move soon, be sure to work with a moving professional. It's the only way to move.
Michael Russell writes about a variety of subjects. This article discusses
Arlington apartments. For more information, visit Promove.